German energy transformation may accelerate

Since the beginning of this year, the hidden concerns of insufficient energy supply and reserves such as natural gas such as Germany have continued to appear. With the evolution of the recent situation of Russia and Ukraine, the German government discussed within the protection of energy security issues. German energy transformation may accelerate.

Haber, Deputy Prime Minister of Germany and Ministry of Economic and Climate Protection, said on the 3rd that Germany cannot ban Russia's energy imports, but must seek alternatives. According to the latest German media reports, the German Federal Ministry of Economy and Climate Protection proposed that the target of 100%of renewable energy power generation is planned to advance to 2035, 15 years earlier than the previous goals. Analysts pointed out that although a "feasible alternative solution" could not be found in the short term, Germany was taking positive actions on energy transformation.

Data show that 55%of Germany's natural gas imports come from Russia, of which almost all of them rely on Russia's natural gas. Habeck acknowledged on the 3rd that importing energy from Russia is necessary for "establishing price security and energy security". Germany's natural gas inventory is at a "scarce level." Data show that on January 30 this year, after several weeks of natural gas reserves, Germany had fallen to about 37%, and two years ago, the storage level was about 90%at the same time. As of February 28, the level of natural gas reserve in Germany was less than 30%, and only about 7 billion cubic meters of natural gas among the reserve tanks. According to the German government on February 1, it needs 40%of the storage level to cope with the extreme cold for 7 days; if it is not limited to the cold current of 30 days, the ideal storage level should be 50%. Essence The German government announced the relevant process of the "Beixi-2" project, which made the current supply tension. However, the German "Spiegel" Weekly quoted German government people as saying that during the remaining time of the current heating period, even if Russia stopped supply, German natural gas supply could still ensure safety.

Germany has a long history of energy. It has already begun discussions on energy transformation, but most of them only stay in verbal. Guo Yan, an expert at German issues and a professor at the School of Foreign Language of Northwestern University of Technology, said that from the recent statement of the German Federal Prime Minister, Tonalz, it can be seen that Germany has seriously considered the transformation of the energy policy and actively took action. When speaking in the Federal House of House a few days ago, Shuerz pointed out that it will increase the amount of natural gas reserves and accelerate the development of established renewable energy strategies. At the same time, it will also build two liquefied natural gas terminals in Bolonsbit and William Port. Receive liquefied natural gas from the United States. In addition, Germany is planning to accelerate the development of renewable energy projects such as wind and solar energy. According to German media reports, Germany is preparing to speed up the Parliament through the "Renewable Energy Law". It is planned to meet all power generation needs with renewable energy by 2035. According to the latest plan, by 2030, the proportion of German planning wind and solar power generation accounted for 80%, and in 2035, it would be fully generated by renewable energy. By 2035, the German -based wind power power capacity will be doubled to 110 GW, offshore wind power generation capacity will reach 30 Gaval, and solar power generation capacity will reach 200 Gaval.

Germany had set a clear schedule for energy transformation: shut down all nuclear power plants in 2022, eliminated coal power in 2038, and carbon neutrality in 2045. The situation in Russia and Ukraine has triggered whether German politics needs to be realized early and how to ensure energy security.

Harzelov, governor of Saxon-Anhart, Germany, pointed out in a needle that under the current circumstances, it is "irresponsible" to quickly close German coal power plants. According to German media, the Minister of Economic Affairs and Energy of Beiwellia Andreas Pingkwat has invited other Federal State Energy Ministers to attend and proposes a document about energy supply security. Early eliminate coal power. However, Habeck believes that the operation of coal -fired power plants can only mean that it rely on hard coal from abroad for a longer period of time.

The German government has reached a decision to completely withdraw from nuclear energy by 2022, and the current only surviving nuclear power plants will be retired at the end of this year.

Guo Yi believes that in order to accelerate the reliance of energy, Germany will do its best to coordinate the EU's energy transformation and vigorously develop renewable energy, but this will also lead to the continuous rise of energy prices and trouble the German economic recovery.

European natural gas prices have maintained at a high level since the record high of last year. Recently, the tension of Russia and Ukraine has once again pushed up its price. Affected by the soaring energy prices, Germany's inflation rate in February has risen to 5.1%. The German Bank of Germany is expected to rise to 5%this year.

Although the Russian -Ukraine conflicts forced millions of Ukraines to leave their hometown, at the same time, there is also a "retrograde" figure in refugee tide: Ukraine's anti -police spokesman Andrij Demtschenko was interviewed by German media this week. It was said, "Since February 24, 510,000 Ukrainians have returned from abroad!"

According to Demchenko, up to 80%of these people returning people are men. Although the border police did not ask the return of the returned one by one, it was clear that most of them "wanted to contribute to national defense", "whether it is military or non -military."

Most returned people have entered the country from Poland. According to the Polish border guards, about 352,000 Ukrainians have returned to their hometown via the country. Many people are to join the army, while others want to come back to take care of children or relatives in need. On the other hand, more than 2.3 million refugees have escaped from Ukraine to Poland so far, mainly women and children, because since the Sallezzky signed a chief mobilization order on February 24, an adult man under the age of 60 has been banned from exiting the country.

According to the Ukrainian Youth League, overseas Ukraines are also returning to neighboring countries such as Hungary and Estonia. A spokesman for the alliance told German media that most of these people are men who want to join the army. The Hungarian government announced on Monday (28th) that the country has accepted 530,000 refugees.

Given that the population of Hungary itself is only less than 10 million, the government spokesman Kovac said: "This means more than 5 refugees per 100 residents, which is the highest acceptance rate among all neighbors in Ukraine."

As for how many refugees who arrived in Hungary, Poland and other Ukrainian neighbors continued to move forward? No one is clear. According to data from the German Federal Ministry of the Interior, as of this Monday morning, 272,000 Ukrainians have registered in Germany, and the actual number of reached should be much higher than this. However, the Federal Immigration and Refugee Office (BAMF) cannot count information about anyone returning to Ukraine from Germany, because the possibility of being noticed by the border police when leaving Germany was even lower than when they entered.

In any case, the German Federal Minister of Labor Haier has met with the employer's association, trade union and other parties today, and began to discuss related matters related to incorporating Ukrainian refugees into the German labor market. Haier hopes to accelerate the recognition of refugee education and professional qualifications. He believes that the degree of destruction and duration of conflicts cannot be fully foresee. Therefore, many people will stay in Germany for a longer time."This is a question of human nature, and it is also a rational issue."

Germany accelerates the "decoupling" with Russia's energy. The EU wants to embarked on Russia's oil in the next step? According to Bell Berbque's statement, Germany will reduce oil imported from Russia this summer; it will completely prohibit imported oil from Russia before the end of this year; then, the "decoupling" of natural gas will follow. "By then, the European Union will get rid of its dependence on Russian energy." Bell Berbak said, "We will follow the common line map of the European Union."Recently, Germany has increased its efforts to reduce its dependence on Russia's energy imports. Data show that as of the beginning of April, Russia's oil accounted for 25%of Germany's imports, below 35%before the situation in Ukraine worsened at the end of February.Of course, compared to oil, Germany is more dependent on natural gas from Russia, so it is more difficult for the natural gas "one -size -fits -all" natural gas imported from Russia. The above data shows that Germany still imported about 40%of natural gas from Russia in the first quarter of this year. The German Economic Minister of Economy also previously believed that (Germany) must completely get rid of the natural gas dependence on Russia, and it is possible to "mid -2024".In order to fill the huge gap left by Russia's energy in the future, Habeck has led a group to visit Qatar, a large oil and gas resource country in Middle East at the end of March, hoping to ensure the supply of energy supply in Germany, especially the supply of natural gas. At that time, Habeck said that Germany must import more natural gas from other countries outside Russia to ensure energy safety and stability. During his visit, he emphasized that Germany hopes to establish closer partnership with Qatar in the field of hydrogen energy such as hydrogen energy to accelerate the transition process of Germany to clean energy.However, Germany intends to import natural gas from Qatar still facing challenges. According to German media reports, due to the need for natural gas from Qatar, Germany has accelerated the construction of the two liquefied natural gas receiving stations, the Hong Kong LNG receiving stations, but the infrastructure such as liquefied natural gas receiving stations still needs to be longer. time.Earlier, some European countries have called for the energy import of energy from Russia. Earlier this month, the European Union approved the ban on Russian coal, but failed to reach an agreement on the embargo on petroleum and natural gas. According to data from the EU Statistical Bureau, the EU's natural gas imports from Russia accounted for about 40%each year, and about one -third of the EU's oil demand comes from Russia.According to foreign media reports, after the announcement of embargoing Russia coal, EU officials are currently brewing a measure of embarrassment for Russian oil products. The above measures may be officially announced after the results of the French election this weekend.The news was also confirmed by France. French Finance Minister Lemer said on the 21st that French President Macron hopes to take such a move at the EU level. "I hope that in the next few weeks, we will persuade our European partners to stop importing Russian oil. The European Commission is trying to speed up the supply of energy to try to reduce the cost of prohibiting Russia's oil and persuade Germany and other reluctant EU countries. Accept this measure. "