目前的房地产市场状态,有点像“抢七”局

7/23/2009 2:05:00 AM [体育运动]

提要：

7、8月份不是淡季，应该抢先发力；

最近继续发力开盘和加紧准备的企业、项目仍然很多；

目前的状态其实有点像网球比赛中的“抢七”局；

对于类似“二套房贷”政策的影响，要看到多方面；

一些处于二线的地区和产品值得关注。

2009年以来，我们以很快的速度进行去化和提升，经历了一段量价齐飞的过程。无论是宏观市场面，还是中观的城市区域，或者微观的企业和项目层面来看，大家都有一个恢复的过程。关键在于这一轮行情和价格高位已基本确立，价格关系的重新梳理也趋于完成。

半年刚过，盘点一下情况，相信绝大部分的开发商同仁完成的任务指标都已经大大超出年初的预期。常见的情况是上半年完成了原计划的6成左右，甚至还有更高的比例。

接下来的时间似乎大家都有一点茫然，也许是市场太好了，恢复得太快了，不仅房子卖得好，土地市场也火热起来。但是，我们看到由于楼市经过近几个月来的快速发展，进入到高原期的特征已经表露出来：价格高位运行，成交量放大基本到位，并处于相对平缓状态。同时，一些信贷政策有收紧的趋势，而对于今年年底及明年春季的市场，也存在着相当多的不确定因素。

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体育运动

Emma (8-9-8)

7/23/2009 4:05:00 AM [文化艺术]

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